Consensus among component methods about election outcome

PollyVote today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.6% for Clinton and 47.4% for Trump. The component methods relatively divided on who will be elected president: Two anticipate a win for Clinton and anticipates that Trump will win. The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All predictions models expect Clinton to win. Prediction markets and expert surveys currently speculate, with a vote share of 55.94 and 53.24 respectively, a victory for Clinton. Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 53.2%. With a vote share of 55.9% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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