In the latest forecast, Polly predicts that Clinton will collect 52.5% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.5% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who is ahead: Five forecast a win for Clinton and one forecast that Trump will win. Contrary to the PollyVote forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.2% vote share, aggregated polls are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 56.0% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.