PollyVote today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.4% for Clinton and 47.6% for Trump. Clinton has experienced an upward trend over the past 2 days, in which she gained an additional 0.08 percentage points.
What Polly's components say
The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All predictions models expect Clinton to win. Expert surveys predict a vote share of 53.2%, which is the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 56.0% of the vote.