Today, Polly predicts that Clinton will end up with 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who will be elected president: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now ahead by 51.6%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.1%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 59.0% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote prognosis.