Polly currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 53% for Clinton and 47% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.0% vote share, combined polls are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.5% of the vote.