In today's update, PollyVote concludes that Clinton will achieve 52% of the national two-party vote, compared to 48% for Trump. For the last 10 days, Polly's prediction been looking better for Clinton, she has since gained 0.01 percentage points.
Looking at the component methods
There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently ahead by 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.2%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 56.1% of the vote.