Broad consensus among component methods about election outcome

In the latest forecast, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will garner 53.4% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.6% for Trump. Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five anticipate a victory for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. In contrast to Polly's prediction, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.2% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 59.9% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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