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The PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton


PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.3% for Clinton and 47.7% for Trump. Over the past 5 days, Polly's forecast been looking worse for Clinton, she has since lost 0.15 percentage points.

A look at the components

Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five anticipate a win for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now in the lead by 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.2% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 55.8% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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