PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.3% for Clinton and 47.7% for Trump. Over the past 5 days, Polly's forecast been looking worse for Clinton, she has since lost 0.15 percentage points.
A look at the components
Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five anticipate a win for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now in the lead by 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.2% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 55.8% of the vote.