PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they would vote if the nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
The results show that 40.0% of interviewees indicated that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 49.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from May 27 to May 30. A total of 724 registered voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-3.6 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of individual polls, since they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, we recommend to consult aggregated polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 44.9% for Clinton and 55.1% for Trump.
Comparison to averages of other polls
Trump currently runs at 52.5% of the major two-party vote according to the latest polling average in Georgia. This value is 2.6 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This margin is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.1 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this deviation is insignificant.