The PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton

In the latest update, Polly the parrot predicts that Clinton will collect 53.3% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 46.7% for Trump. Clinton has however experienced a downward trend over the past 36 days, in which she lost 0.20 percentage points.

Looking at Polly's components

There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 59.3% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.