Combined PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton

In the latest forecast, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will gain 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.6% for Trump. Clinton has experienced an upward trend for the last 43 days, in which she gained an additional 0.17 percentage points.

A look at the component methods

Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be the next POTUS: Five anticipate a win for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.3% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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