Today, PollyVote predicts that Clinton will end up with 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. Contrary to the combined PollyVote, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.1%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 59.3% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.