In the latest update, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will garner 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who will be elected president: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.1%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.7% of the vote.