The PollyVote expects win for Clinton

As of today, Polly the parrot concludes that Clinton will end up with 53.7% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.3% for Trump. Clinton has however experienced a downward trend over the past 51 days, in which she lost 0.22 percentage points.

Looking at Polly's component methods

There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now leading with 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 60.1% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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