In the latest update, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will collect 53.1% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.9% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently in the lead by 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.2% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 58.9% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.