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Broad consensus among component methods about election outcome


In the latest update, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will collect 53.1% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.9% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently in the lead by 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.2% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 58.9% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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