Polly the parrot currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 53% for Clinton and 47.1% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who will be the next POTUS: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now ahead by 52.1%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.3% vote share, quantitative index models are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 57.4% of the vote.