In the latest update, PollyVote concludes that Clinton will collect 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who is ahead: Five expect a victory for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's combined forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.1%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 59.0% of the vote.