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Clinton ahead, according to today’s PollyVote forecast


PollyVote today predicts a national two-party vote share of 53.1% for Clinton and 46.9% for Trump. Over the past 74 days, Polly's forecast been looking better for Clinton, she has since gained 0.55 percentage points.

Looking at the component methods

There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently ahead by 52.1%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that quantitative index models, with a predicted vote share of 53.3%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The econometric model present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 47.9% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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