Polly the parrot today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.4% for Clinton and 47.6% for Trump. Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be the next POTUS: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now ahead by 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.2%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 56.0% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.