In the latest forecast, Polly concludes that Clinton will collect 53.4% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.6% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on the election outcome: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently in the lead by 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.1% of the vote.