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Methods widely agree on the election outcome


In the latest forecast, Polly concludes that Clinton will collect 53.4% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.6% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on the election outcome: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently in the lead by 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.1% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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