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Clinton leads, according to latest PollyVote forecast

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Today, PollyVote predicts that Clinton will collect 52.5% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.5% for Trump. Clinton has however experienced a downward trend over the past 79 days, in which she lost 0.26 percentage points.

This is what the components predict

The component methods widely agree on who will be the next U.S. President: Five anticipate a win for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 52.1%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.0% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 56.7% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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