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Methods widely agree on the election outcome


Today, Polly predicts that Clinton will obtain 53% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who will be the next POTUS: Five forecast a win for Clinton and one forecast that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's combined forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 52.1%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.3% vote share, quantitative index models are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 57.7% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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