In the latest forecast, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will obtain 53% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who will be the next U.S. President: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now leading with 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 53.2%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 58.1% of the vote.