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The PollyVote expects win for Clinton

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PollyVote currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.6% for Clinton and 47.4% for Trump. Clinton has experienced an upward trend for the last 77 days, in which she gained an additional 0.05 percentage points.

What Polly's component methods say

Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five forecast a victory for Clinton and one forecast that Trump will win. In contrast to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 52.1%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 52.0%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 56.7% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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