As of today, Polly concludes that Clinton will gain 52% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 48% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who will be elected president: Five predict a win for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that aggregated polls, with a predicted vote share of 51.0%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 55.8% of the vote.