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Methods widely agree on the election outcome


As of today, Polly concludes that Clinton will gain 52% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 48% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who will be elected president: Five predict a win for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that aggregated polls, with a predicted vote share of 51.0%, are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest difference from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 55.8% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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