Today, Polly the parrot predicts that Clinton will obtain 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's combined forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 59.6% of the vote.