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Methods widely agree on the election outcome


Today, Polly the parrot predicts that Clinton will obtain 53.5% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.5% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's combined forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.1% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's prognosis and predict Clinton to have 59.6% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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