Methods widely agree on the election outcome

In the latest forecast, Polly the parrot concludes that Clinton will collect 53.6% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 46.5% for Trump. Polly's component methods widely agree on who will win the election: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is currently leading with 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.3% vote share, quantitative index models are the closest to PollyVote's prognosis. With a vote share of 61.0% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote prognosis.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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