On May 23, CBS News/YouGov released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Florida were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans. As a Swing State Florida could be a valuable win for both the democratic and the republican party. Election predictions for this state are vital, as the final outcome could still go either way.
According to the results, 43.0% of interviewees plan to vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton, while 42.0% plan to vote for the Republican Donald Trump. The poll was conducted from May 16 to May 19. A total of likely voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 50.6% for the Democrat Hillary Clinton and 49.4% for Donald Trump. The vote share for the Democrats is 0.6 percentage points under the average results of other polls in Florida.
According to PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which currently anticipates a value of 49.9% in Florida. According to the poll the vote share for the Democrats is 41.7 percentage points larger when compared to the results of PollyVote's prognoses on a national level.