Gravis published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Florida were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate. Florida is a Swing State, in which the election outcome can still go either way, making the prognoses for this state exceptionally interesting.
The results reveal that 46.0% of participants plan to vote for the Democrats, while 42.0% said they would vote for Republican party. The poll was conducted from May 17 to May 18 with 2542 registered voters. The error margin is +/-2.0 percentage points.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 52.3% for the Democrats and 47.7% for the Republicans. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Florida the Democrats did better in this poll.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 2.4 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now anticipates a value of 49.9% in Florida. According to the poll the vote share for the Democrats is 43.4 percentage points larger when compared to the results of PollyVote's prognoses on a national level.