Results of a new poll carried out by CBS News/YouGov were published. The poll asked respondents from Ohio for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump. As a Swing State Ohio could be an important gain for both democrats and republicans. Election predictions for this state are quite significant, as the final result could still go either way.
According to the results, 44.0% of respondents are going to vote for the Democratic Party, while 39.0% are going to vote for the Republicans. The poll was carried out from May 16 to May 19 with 992 likely voters. The results have a +/-3.7 percentage point margin of error.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 53.0% for the Democrats and 47.0% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Democrats is 2.2 percentage points over the average results of other polls in Ohio.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 3.0 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a value of 50.0% in Ohio. According to the poll the vote share for the Democrats is 44.1 percentage points larger when compared to the results of PollyVote's prognoses on a national level.