Results of a new national poll carried out by NBC News were circulated on May 22. The poll asked participants for whom they would likely vote if the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party nominated Donald Trump.
Of those who responded, 43.0% said that they will vote for the Democrats, while 46.0% revealed that they would give their vote to the Republicans. The poll was conducted from May 15 to May 19. A total of respondents responded. The margin of error is +/-3.1 points.
Other survey predictions
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 51.7% for the Democrats and 48.3% for the Republicans. In comparison to the average results of other polls the Democrats did better in this poll.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a two-party vote share of 52.1%.