On May 22, ABC News released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
Of those who answered the question, 46.0% revealed that they intend to vote for the Democrats, while 44.0% said that they would give their vote to the Republicans. The poll was carried out from May 16 to May 19 among 829 participants. The results have a +/-3.5 percentage point error margin.
In comparison with other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 48.9% for the Democrat Clinton and 51.1% for the Republican Trump. The vote share for the Republicans is 2.2 percentage points under the average results of other polls.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Republicans are therefore 3.2 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.9%.