CBS News published the results of a new national poll on May 19. In this poll, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
Of those who responded, 47.0% said that they would vote for the Democrat Clinton, whereas 41.0% indicated that they would give their vote to the Republican Trump. The poll was in the field between May 13 and May 17. The sample size was 1109 participants. There is a sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points.
Other survey prognoses
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 53.4% for the Democrats and 46.6% for the Republicans. The Democrats did better by 2.1 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 1.0 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a two-party vote share of 52.4%.