On May 19, Rasmussen released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
The results show that 37.0% of respondents plan to vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton, whereas 42.0% said they would vote for Donald Trump. The poll was conducted between May 17 and May 18. The sample size was 1000 participants. The results have a +/-3.0 percentage point error margin.
Other survey prognoses
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 46.8% for the Democrat Hillary Clinton and 53.2% for the Republican Donald Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls the Republicans did worse in this poll . A glance at the sampling error shows that the difference is significant.
According to PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Republicans are thus 5.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a two-party vote share of 47.6%.