Results of a new national poll carried out by FOX were distributed on May 18. The poll asked participants for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party nominated Donald Trump.
The results show that 42.0% of interviewees will vote for the Democratic party, whereas 45.0% said they would vote for GOP. This poll was conducted from May 14 to May 17, among a random sample of 1021 participants. The sampling error is +/-3.0 percentage points.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 48.3% for the Democrat Clinton and 51.7% for Trump. The vote share for the Republicans is 3.8 percentage points under the average results of other polls, in which the difference, with regard to the sampling error, is quite significant.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll results for the Republicans are thus 4.3 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now expects a two-party vote share of 47.4%.