PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Arizona were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
Of those who responded, 41.0% revealed that they are going to vote for the Democrats, whereas 45.0% indicated that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted from May 13 to May 15, among a random sample of 896 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points.
Other survey predictions
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 47.7% for the Democrats and 52.3% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Republicans is 3.0 percentage points under the average results of other polls in Arizona.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll numbers for the Republicans are therefore 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Arizona.