New Gravis poll: Democrats hold small advantage
Gravis published the results of a new national poll on May 13. In this poll, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
The results reveal that 48.0% of respondents intend to vote for the Democratic party, while 46.0% said they would vote for GOP. The poll was in the field between May 10 and May 10. The sample size was 1574 participants. The margin of error is +/-2.5 percentage points.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 51.1% for the Democrats and 48.9% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Democrats is 2.3 percentage points under the average results of other polls.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prognosis
In Comparison, the PollyVote right now foresees the Democrats to garner 53.1% of the two-party vote, which is 2.0 percentage points above their poll results.