PPP poll: Democrats are ahead
Results of a new national poll carried out by PPP were circulated on May 10. The poll asked respondents for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump.
The results reveal that 47.0% of interviewees are going to vote for the Democrats, whereas 41.0% said they would vote for GOP. This poll was conducted from May 6 to May 9, among a random sample of 1222 participants. The results have a +/-3.2 percentage point margin of error.
Other survey predictions
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 53.4% for the Democrats and 46.6% for the Republicans. In comparison to the average results of other polls the Democrats did worse in this poll.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently forecasts the Democrats to win 53.3% of the two-party vote, which is 0.1 percentage points below their poll results.