Results of a new poll carried out by Quinnipiac were released on May 10. The poll asked respondents from Florida for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party nominated Donald Trump. As a Swing State Florida could be a valuable gain for both the democratic and the republican party. Election predictions for this state are vital, as the final outcome could still go either way.
Of those who responded, 43.0% said that they intend to vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton, while 42.0% indicated that they would give their vote to the Republican Donald Trump. The poll was in the field between April 27 and May 8. The sample size was 1051 registered voters. The results have a +/-3.0 percentage point sampling error.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 50.6% for the Democrats and 49.4% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Democrats is 1.8 percentage points under the average results of other polls in Florida.
According to PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 0.1 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now anticipates a value of 50.5% in Florida. On a national level the results are 2.7 percentage points lower compared to the PollyVote prognosis for the Democrats vote share.