Quinnipiac published the results of a new poll on May 10. In this poll, respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
The results reveal that 43.0% of participants will vote for the Democrats, while 42.0% said they would vote for Republican party. This poll was conducted from April 27 to May 8, among a random sample of 1077 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-3.0 points.
Other survey prognoses
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 50.6% for the Democrat Clinton and 49.4% for the Republican Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania the Democrats did worse in this poll . A glance at the sampling error shows that the difference is significant.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prognosis
In Comparison, the PollyVote right now forecasts the Democrats to achieve 52.8% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than their poll results. According to the poll the vote share for the Democrats is 2.7 percentage points smaller when compared to the results of PollyVote's predictions on a national level.