Results of a new national poll carried out by CNN were circulated on May 4. The poll asked respondents for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump.
The results reveal that 54.0% of participants plan to vote for the Democrat Clinton, whereas 41.0% said they would vote for the Republican Trump. The poll was conducted from April 28 to May 1 with 890 respondents. Estimated have a +/-3.5 percentage points error margin.
When compared with other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 56.8% for the Democrat Clinton and 43.2% for the Republican Trump. The Democrats did worse by 3.4 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls.
According to PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are thus 3.5 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which at the moment expects a value of 53.3%.