On May 2, PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans. Ohio is a Swing State with an election result that remains completely unclear. Election prognoses for this state are therefore highly anticipated.
The results reveal that 45.0% of respondents will vote for the Democrats, while 42.0% said they would vote for the Republicans. The poll was conducted from April 26 to April 27 among 799 registered voters. Results have a +/-3.2 percentage points margin of error.
Other survey prognoses
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 51.7% for Hillary Clinton and 48.3% for the Republican Donald Trump. The Democrats did better by 0.2 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in Ohio.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 1.1 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now foresees a two-party vote share of 50.6% in Ohio. On a national level the results amount to 3.8 percentage points higher compared to the PollyVote prognosis for the Democrats vote share.