Small advantage for Democrats in latest Suffolk poll
Suffolk published the results of a new national poll on February 17. In this poll, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
According to the results, 47.0% of respondents are going to vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% are going to vote for the Republican Donald Trump. The poll was carried out from December 2 to December 6 among 1000 participants. Results have a +/-3.0 percentage points margin of error.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 51.7% for the Democrats and 48.4% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Democrats is 0.4 percentage points over the average results of other polls.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll numbers for the Democrats are thus 0.1 percentage points lower than the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.8%.