Results of a new national poll carried out by Rasmussen were published on March 2. The poll asked participants for whom they would likely vote if the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party nominated Donald Trump.
The results show that 41.0% of interviewees would vote for the Democratic party, whereas 36.0% said they would vote for the Republicans. The poll was in the field between February 29 and March 1. The sample size was 1000 participants. Figures have a +/-3.0 percentage points error margin.
According to other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 53.3% for the Democrat Clinton and 46.8% for the Republican Trump. The vote share for the Democrats is 0.7 percentage points under the average results of other polls.
In comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are thus 1.1 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a two-party vote share of 52.2%.