Ipsos published the results of a new national poll on March 31. In this poll, which was conducted on behalf of Reuters, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
Of those who answered the question, 45.0% said that they will vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton, while 32.0% indicated that they would give their vote to the Republican Donald Trump. The Internet poll was conducted between March 27 and March 31. The sample size was 1580 registered voters.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 58.4% for the Democrats and 41.6% for the Republicans. The vote share for the Democrats is 2.7 percentage points under the average results of other polls.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 5.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which as of now predicts a value of 53.3%.