Behavior Research CenterBRC published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Arizona were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
Of those who answered the question, 42.0% said that they intend to vote for the Democrats, whereas 35.0% declared that they would give their vote to the Republicans. The poll was conducted between April 4 and April 11. The sample size was 564 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-4.2 points. Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 54.6% for the Democrat Hillary Clinton and 45.5% for the Republican Donald Trump.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Republicans are therefore 12.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which currently forecasts a value of 0.0% in Arizona.