Virginia: Advantage for Democrats in new Roanoke College poll
Roanoke College published the results of a new poll on April 27. In this poll, respondents from Virginia were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
Of those who answered the question, 52.0% said that they will vote for the Democrats, whereas 35.0% revealed that they would give their vote to the Republicans. The poll was conducted from January 18 to January 26 among 524 likely voters. Figures have a +/-4.3 percentage points margin of error.
In comparison with other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 59.8% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 40.2% for the republican Donald Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Virginia the Democrats did worse in this poll.
In comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently forecasts the Democrats to garner 51.8% of the two-party vote in Virginia, which is 8.0 percentage points lower than their poll figures.