Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania: Republicans are behind
Quinnipiac published the results of a new poll on April 27. In this poll, respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
According to the results, 45.0% of respondents are going to vote for the Democratic Party, while 42.0% are going to vote for the Republicans. The poll was carried out from March 30 to April 4 with 1737 likely voters. Estimated have a +/-2.4 percentage points error margin.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 51.7% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 48.3% for the republican Donald Trump. The vote share for the Democrats is 2.6 percentage points over the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 1.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.9% in Pennsylvania.