Pennsylvania: Very clear advantage for Democrats in NBC-WSJ-Marist poll
On April 27, NBC-WSJ-Marist released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
Of those who answered the question, 54.0% revealed that they will vote for the Democrats, while 39.0% revealed that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted from April 18 to April 20, among a random sample of 2606 registered voters. Figures have a +/-1.9 percentage points sampling error.
In comparison with other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 58.1% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 41.9% for the republican Donald Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania the Democrats did worse in this poll.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 5.2 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now predicts a two-party vote share of 52.9% in Pennsylvania.