New York: Very clear advantage for Democrats in latest Emerson poll
Emerson published the results of a new poll on April 27. In this poll, respondents from New York were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
According to the results, 55.0% of interviewees intend to vote for the Democratic Party, while 36.0% intend to vote for the GOP. The poll was conducted between April 15 and April 17. The sample size was 1047 likely voters. Estimated have a +/-3.0 percentage points error margin.
Other survey prognoses
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 60.4% for the democrat Clinton and 39.6% for the republican Trump. The Democrats did better by 1.3 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in New York.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 0.4 percentage points lower than the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a value of 60.8% in New York.